Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Some thoughts on privacy (based on 1984)

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“If you want to keep a secret, you must also hide it from yourself.”
-George Orwell, "1984"
I just read 1984 and audio-booked The Handmaid's Tale. At the same time. There's a depressing combination.

But I finally understand the 'privacy matters' argument.

Knowledge is power, power is knowledge. If all of my data (biological info, transit patterns, texts) are shared with higher powers (companies, government), it can be both good and bad.

The good part is these higher powers can use it to make our lives better. Health can improve, traffic can move faster, and crimes can be stopped (maybe). Plus, it's all encrypted, so no one will really know it's me, anyway.

But as 1984 taught me, our freedom is the right to think "I'M FREE" without anyone knowing it. Even if it's encrypted. And as The Handmaid's Tale taught me, our freedom lies in illogical, irreverent actions without any supervisor.

Where do I stand? Privacy is freedom, and I'd be naive and idealistic to argue against that. On the other hand, society can improve if we all share information! On the other hand, isn't that literally what communism is? On the other hand, it's encrypted!

And that's the end of Adriel's weekly rant without any conclusions. Please respond here with a photo of your passport and most recent text messages.

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Tuesday, December 5, 2017

Be in touch with your audience

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"People don’t buy WHAT you do, they buy WHY you do it."
-Simon Sinek
So I was at Synergy Global Forum last week. Speakers included Richard Branson, Jack Welch, Robin Wright, Jimmy Wales. I'm so inspired, I might go start a podcast.

Oh wait...

Simon Sinek was one of the most highly anticipated speakers. The crowd went wild, circa Madonna 1987. In case you don't know, Sinek is a best-selling author about business and leadership theory. He's the Einstein of modern business- all theory, no practice, and lots of celebrity.

He was speaking in big-time metaphors. Connecting the Vietnam War to Apple to modern leadership. "It is our role as leaders to build teams that play the infinite game!" And the crowd goes wild.

I was watching a security guard watch this preaching. This guard, about 25 years old and as far removed from tech gospel like 'innovation' and 'disruption' as possible, was incredulous.

Every minute, he would turn around and say to no one in particular, "What is this guy talking about?" or "I can't believe people LIKE this!" or, simply, "This is stupid".

The dichotomy was comical. On the one hand, 3,000 of the most ambitious and successful people in tech and innovation. In awe at the magnificent widoms.

On the other hand, a man who makes his blue-collar living working hard every day. Also in awe, but for a very different reason.

Many leaders have taken up Sinek's cry of "Start with the WHY." We build the things we do to 'make the world better!' and 'distribute technology to the people!' It's noble and true and just and looks great in a TED Talk.

But 'the people!' whom we are so excited to help call us out on the BS of our theoretical, metaphorical inspiration. They do it to our face. And it's hilarious.

So yes, let's build 'for the people!' And let's get inspired by great theorists. But let's get our heads out of the clouds sometimes, because we can come off as real assholes. 

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Monday, December 4, 2017

Why bother traveling to space

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"The probability of success is difficult to estimate. But if we never search, the chance of success is zero."
-Giuseppe Cocconi
NASA's 2015 budget was $17.5 billion. That's enough money to buy 29 trillion pounds of bananas. And that's not even at Costco prices.

I don't know why I made a comparison to bananas, but that's a lot of money.

That much money can be used to feed America's hungry (with or without bananas). It can house millions of people. It can be invested in schools. It can almost buy me that new iPhone X.

So we're at an ethical conundrum. On one hand, space is cool, and getting a man on the moon was an ontological accomplishment. On the other, there are 45 million Americans living below the poverty line. But on the other hand, who can put a value on the classic Neil Armstrong line, "To Infinity, and Beyond!"

Or was that someone else?

Here is why space exploration is important (in addition to the medical and technological advances NASA has pioneered). It's the same reason that art is important. Or kindness. Or philosophy.

We are creatures of metaphor, stuck in a practical world. The ideas - the symbols - of curiosity, exploration, and wonderment are what make life fun and diverse. Knowing that there are things left unknown is a unique feature in our wonderful world, and I would defend that principle, the very one supported by a proposition like space exploration, to the end.

That said, I acknowledge that I can afford the privilege of a few metaphors. I live in a happy home and have lots of bananas to eat.

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Saturday, December 2, 2017

A Treatise on Political Correctness

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"I am absolutely opposed to political correctness. You cannot confront hate speech until you've experienced it. You need to hear every side of the issue instead of just one."
-Jane Elliott
Political correctness is this funny thing that I don’t really understand.

You see, I was raised in a Russian-Jewish home. And in such a home, the Dr. Seussian (PhD?) parable of ‘say what you mean and mean what you say’ lives on the far end of that spectrum in which any remark - no matter how caustic, derogatory, or crude - is permissible.

Permissable, but simultaneously debatable. Say what you will, but you better be ready to back it up. Arguments may start half-baked and crude, but it is your job to...

a) dig deep to understand the reason behind what you say and
b) LISTEN to what the other argument is. Especially if you disagree with it.

It is thing b that is missing from most conversations these days. People seem to dismiss labels, not arguments. We blanket groups by demographic, not by opinion. And, worst of all, we judge as soon as we think we know what someone will say, without waiting for them to say it.

Republicans are insensitive. Democrats are naive. This race is deserving. That race is opportunistic. Tall people deserve higher salaries. Short people got little hands, and little eyes, and they walk around, tellin' great big lies...

The most dangerous aspect is that most of our friends agree with us. So if we make an argument and are judged before we are really heard, we will be judged well and agreed with. Contradictions are dangerous and undesired, so they are rarely offered.

Learning only happens under pressure, but echoes can exist in a cave. So find some pressure.

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Thursday, November 30, 2017

Why read fiction

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"And for god’s sake, don’t let me ever hear you say, ‘I can’t read fiction. I only have time for the truth.’ Fiction is the truth, fool! Ever hear of ‘literature’? That means fiction, too, stupid.” 
~ John Waters
Disclaimer #1: I disagree with the first 3 paragraphs of what I'm about to say.

Fiction is sort of a stupid genre. It's like romcom movies or pasta bolognese. 0 long-term benefits, 100% pure in-the-moment bliss.

Biographies (unlike fiction) can teach us about the lives and decisions of people we admire. Documentaries (unlike romcoms) can educate us about Planet Earth or how the moon landing never happened. And Popeye says to each more spinach (not bolognese).

But fiction? What could that provide an intelligent, ambitious, reflective individual? What can it teach, or improve, or add to the life or mind of someone as aristocratic and high brow as you or me?

The answer: everything. 

Fiction contains within it the pathos of human experience, the logos of our greatest thinkers, and the ethos of societal structures.

And in case you didn't pay attention in 11th grade English, I meant to say that fiction teaches readers to understand human emotions. Each novel is a biography of a dozen great people- the author amongst them. And fiction can guide us to understand the depths of what society can be- at it's best and it's worst.

Go read Marquez's Love in the Time of Cholera and tell me you didn't learn a bit more about the human proclivity for sex, jealousy, and obsession. Read McKellen's Atonement and tell me you didn't feel the might of ambition and regret. Read The Very Hungry Caterpillar and tell me it's not a book about stoicism and willpower.

Fiction is everything. It is imagination, and love, and heartache, and power, and questions, and even answers.

Disclaimer #2: This is just my attempt to make annually rereading Harry Potter acceptable...

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Monday, November 27, 2017

Education = Exploration

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"Education is what remains after one has forgotten what one has learned at school" - Einstein
When I was in 3rd grade, I was placed into the Discovery program. We had to pass a tough test to get in, and we got to miss a few hours of class a week. It was awesome.

Mrs. G taught us to be curious. We built mousetrap racecars, solved puzzles, and opened up computers. It was my first interaction with the sort of creativity I admire in today's greatest entrepreneurial visionaries.

In high school, proposed budget cuts would have removed the Discovery program. Over 100 Discovery alumni - most of us high school students bound for top universities - spoke up in protest.

Anything that allows children an opportunity to explore, imagine, and be curious is a win for the world.

So don't give your child an iPad and tell them to keep busy. Engage them with adventure, imagination, and beautiful games. Teach them to ask questions, and to Discover.

But if they're being annoying, I guess you can just give them an iPad. 

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Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Let's talk about gratitude

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'Enough' is a feast.
-Buddhist Proverb


What exactly are we grateful for? Sure, we have family, friends, health, and homes. But in our enlightened and privileged American world, those are commodities and perhaps deserve no more gratitude than water and soil.

"OMG I can’t believe you said that, you insensitive prick!"

Ah, but just like water and soil, all these things can be wiped away at any moment. One storm can leave us homeless, like we saw in Texas and Puerto Rico. One tragedy can take our families and friends, like we saw in Las Vegas.

These are horrible, freak accidents. But so unlikely to affect you, me, or Dupree, that its too easy to say that we’re grateful to be safe. We are grateful that a freak accident hasn’t happened to us? Important, sure. But a bit shallow.

Maybe we’re grateful that we were born with these things to begin with. Children have lost mothers at birth for centuries, but many of us still have ours. America provides unique opportunities that my parents’ home country of Russia- and many others around the world- don’t even consider a human right.

But these are coincidences. Are we grateful for dumb luck of the draw? Grateful that we happened to be born to our particular parents, or that they happened to work themselves into a middle-class income to supply the security of our childhoods? That seems too untouchable, too flimsy, and, again, too easy.

So what should we be grateful for? The tangible and specific, not the abstract.

Don’t just be grateful for your health- take a deep breath, and say thank you for that moment.

Don’t just be grateful for your family- hug your Mother, and thank the emotion of that moment.

Don’t just be grateful for your friends- take a mental image of a moment, a laugh, a hug that means more to you than luck or coincidence ever could.

So this Thanksgiving, of course I am grateful for my health, home, family, and friends. But even more so, I’m grateful for the fact that my mom still hugs me every day, that my bed is big enough to fit me and my puppy, that I’m free enough to laugh at rib-cracking moments with my best friends.

I'm even grateful that my grandmother is still sane enough to send me emails about “6 MUST SEE Moments on Ukraine’s Got Talent!” Or maybe she’s insane? It’s a fine line...

And I’m grateful for that time- that specific moment in time- when you and I shook hands, hugged, or shared something most recently.

Much love,

A

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Monday, November 20, 2017

We don't need no education

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"We thought that we had the answers, it was the questions we had wrong." - Bono
I want to have stronger opinions on education. But it's such a complex issue, that I'll leave you with a few important questions.

- Can higher education bring $50k/year of value to its customers (students)?

- Is learning elementary coding skills actually important? Or is it like learning basic French? Nice, but not enough to impact your career.

- As robots change our jobs and people need to work less, will education be about training students for a career? Or building well-rounded, interesting, curious people?

- If the best education is hands-on, should students be encouraged to take agap year between high school and college?

- How can technology create opportunities for people without a college degree?

- There are benefits to customized/personalized learning. But group learning/teamwork is just as effective and important. Where do these two meet?

Also, yeah. I quoted Bono earlier.


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Thursday, November 16, 2017

You are what you listen to

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When radio came around, we were like:

"This is dumb. I can just listen to my friends."

When television came around, we were like:

"Cool, I get it. Now I don't have to talk to my family at dinner."

When the internet came around, we were like:

"Wouldn't it be great to build a website for EVERYTHING? Oh, and banner ads. Let's do those."

Media is powerful. We're slowly figuring it out. And what's next? Voice, baby. Voice.

Platforms enabling voice are bigger than radio on the internet (sorry Russ Hanneman). They're bigger than putting TV on your phone (watch out, Netflix).

The proliferation of voice is going to make humanity more effective. It saves time, it makes us smarter. It's complementary to the physical world, not a replacement for it.

If you want a preview of the future, 'listen up' (lol) and join the 67 million monthly podcast listeners. Or the predicted 138 million Alexa owners in 2020.

Or just remember the authority in your mom's voice, and appreciate how powerful of a communication channel that is.

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Monday, November 13, 2017

It's not nice to steal

My dad used to tell me a story.

When Dad was 11, he stole candy from grocery store. The clerk caught him, and dragged him over to my granddad. This relic of the Russian KGB smacked my dad over the head.

"Do you know why I'm mad at you?"

"Because I stole the candy?" 

"Because you got caught."

Grandpa wasn't the most respectable man. My father has grown into the very symbol of honesty. We should all strive to overcome any remnants of poor upbringing and find ways to consistently improve. 

Also, someone stole my bike this week, and that was super not nice of them. If anyone sees a grey bike in Manhattan, call me. It's probably mine. 

Wednesday, November 1, 2017

Chatbots: What They Are, and Where They're Headed

This blog was first published on the 30STF Blog.

On July 26, 2017, 30STF attended the Chatbot Growth and Engagement Roundtable in NYC, featuring 16 leaders of the AI and chatbot conversation. It was hosted by PluggedIn BD at the Cushman and Wakefield offices.

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For the chatbot uninitiated, for those who have not attended the roundtable, the leading perception might be that chatbots are a gimmick that's all show and no substance. Maybe you've interacted with a customer service chatbot and not even known it. But the Chatbot Growth and Engagement Roundtable revealed that the future of chatbots is frictionless communication. And that future is now.

When handled properly and in the right hands (these right hands being defined as savvy marketers who understand what their customers need), chatbots can provide a lot of value. They can simplify transactions, personalize sales, and expedite customer service (or at least eradicate horrible over the phone support).

When done poorly, they can be unethical, unhelpful, or (perhaps worst of all) ignored. They can overstep boundaries, be mismanaged, or simply go out of style. They can be seen a just a gimmick, or a cool technological trick.

When done well, they can immensely improve relationships between customers and businesses, and make things frictionless. They’re more than a gimmick- they’re a necessary business decision and a huge win for customers.

Here is what we learned about chatbots from the Chatbot Growth and Engagement Roundtable.

Chatbots are helpful tools for companies and customers

According to nuclear scientist and AI specialist Riza Berkan, we currently live in a world of ‘Static Knowledge’. We have paper censuses, FAQs, customer service questionnaires. These tools for providing or obtaining information are not dynamic. They’re created, ingested, spit out, and left alone.

Chatbots can, first and foremost, bring us into a world of Interactive Knowledge. Businesses can learn more about their customers, and customers can learn to engage with smarter, more personalized, and more helpful service.

To fully reach their potential, chatbots need to understand how humans interact- one of the great challenges of Turing Test computer science. They need to have an abstraction capability that can allow them to answer similar questions posed in different ways. They need to have innate logic about presenting information in the best medium (ie. it wouldn’t help to send the 10 page terms of service document when the customer asked a question about refunds). And they need to be frictionless.

Currently, most people likely get our customer service questions answered via FAQ (static and devoid of a lot of key information) or via a call-center based customer service agent (because everyone just loves hold music). If chatbots can bridge the ease of use of an FAQ with the helpfulness of a real human, chatbots can create a frictionless method of helping the customer.

And if they can do that, they can help businesses. It’s a three step process: Appreciation, accumulation, evaluation/execution.

The three steps to a company’s chatbot adoption

Appreciation:

Businesses need to understand the enormous value in data that chatbots can generate. By creating bots that keep customers engaged, businesses can learn about their tastes and habits. By providing offers tailored to the customer, a business can grow sales. And by algorithm-ising (read: the creation of an algorithm from previously manual tasks) the customer service process, businesses can retain customers through excellent, frictionless, service.

Accumulation:

Your bot it built, now it’s time to get data. As Stephen Nemeth, VP Director of Strategy and Innovation at Carat, put it, “it’s about the ability to understand people throughout the day and the buying journey”. Interactive consumer panels help get more iterative product reviews and builds. Understanding emotions can help improve and tailor marketing efforts. Imagine a world in which every customer interaction can be recorded, coded, and extrapolated upon. That can happen with chatbots in a way neither static websites nor human customer service agents could ever do.

Evaluation/Execution:

It all comes down to getting things done. Once all of this information is collected, it’s the company’s job to make the process/product/service better for the customer. Better understanding the most common customer service questions asked can help tailor responses. Evaluating a customer’s comprehension of your product (novice vs. expert) can allow your chatbot to tailor its responses to be most helpful to the customer. And learning about your customer’s style and preference allows your chatbot to recommend (and ideally sell) very specific products.

So that’s what chatbots can do. They can immensely improve relationships between customers and businesses, and make things frictionless. But, Stephen Nemeth notes that this comes with a warning label.

"If your customer service sucks, chatbots are not going to improve it.”

Just like "nothing kills a bad product faster than good marketing" (Brad Brinegar, McKinney), it’s all about creating a good system to translate into a good chatbot, not the other way around.

Chatbots are not easily adopted by marketers

Marketers are usually the most experimental and creative adopters of new technologies. They are willing to experiment with 4 second Snapchat ads, even though it’s a million miles away from 60 second tv ads. They’ll do customized QR codesbranded VR experiences, and Foursquare checkins galore.

But many marketers are resistant to incorporating chatbots into their companies. Part of the reason is that no one really knows what to do with them. They can be overlooked as a party trick or an expensive gimmick.

Before launching on the expensive and complex route of launching a chatbot, marketers and teams need to understand what they’re doing. They should ask themselves: Why do I want to build a bot? What is it going to do? Where does it fit into my ecosystem?

Chatbots today are a lot like iPhone apps in 2008

There’s an obvious recent historical parallel in which technology presented itself to businesses in an exciting and new manner. Remember the excitement around the launch of the App Store? Yeah, so do many companies. And not always positively.

When the iPhone App Store was released in 2008, every business in the 1st world universe (and many in the 2nd and 3rd worlds) believed that they needed to build their own app. In 2011, the New York Times released an article proclaiming news that the millionth app was launched, with over 15,000 new apps introduced every week. Just 4 years later, the International Business Times stated that that number had gone down to just 7,000 new apps every week. People and companies realized that apps aren’t a must have. Not every brand, store, market, company, tool needs (or can be serviced by) it’s own proprietary app. Technology that isn’t used becomes useless, and depreciates over time. Learning from early mistakes, companies may be more wary.

Additionally, the data to support chatbot value isn’t quite there yet. As Gabe Weiss, Chief Strategy Officer at RAPP put it, "98% of users are on Messenger or that the average person chats with 15 people a day doesn’t make a marketer any more willing to build a chatbot.” Just because a lot of people use Messenger as an app with other humans, it does not mean that they will be willing to communicate in the same way with an AI chat bot. Using Messenger use data to pitch the value of chatbots doesn’t make sense. There needs to be a more exciting pitch to marketers to the importance of chatbots.

Having successful chatbots is about good strategy

Part of good execution is good strategy. Follow the first rule of content marketing: don't throw money at a place your customers are not. If your customers are not already first adopters or fast followers of technology, they’re not likely to pick up on chatbots until they’re more integrated.

Even if a company were to develop a chatbot, and one with all the bells and whistles to be successful, chatbots are nothing more than the next opt-in media. They need the customer’s participation in order to work effectively. So companies can’t just build and put it out there. According to Anna Nicanorova, Director at Annalect Labs, chatbots, in contrast to apps, are about "doing a little work upfront, and lots of changing throughout. The value of chatbots comes from learning about how to improve.”

And improvement comes from engagement. So how can a company drive engagement? Gabe Weiss’s company helped Air France with a brilliant marketing effort where folks who chatted with Mr. Miles (Europe’s chatbot version of the most interesting man in the world) became eligible for a 500,000 mile prize. This led to enormous engagement which in turn created huge amounts of information gathered, and many happy and impressed customers.

Which leads us to other examples of chatbots done well.

Services must mix digital and physical
The best service: a mix of digital and physical

Who is doing chatbots well?

As with any product, the best version is the one that solves a major pain point. Whether for a company or a customer, here are some examples of well made chatbots.

For the company:

Redbull- training and on boarding new employees. 
Daniel Ilkovich, CEO of chatbot shop Dexter, told of how Redbull is using chatbots to train its internal employees. Creating an easily navigable and frictionless way for young employees to ask questions and get answers saves enormous amounts of money and human capital in training.

Imperson.com- builds chatbots for brand mascots and movie characters. 
Imagine a 5 year old boy being able to chat with the real Spiderman. Or a physics student having a chat with Einstein. Imperson creates branded chatbot robots to help companies promote their brands and initiatives.

For the customer:

Gerber- a human guided chatbot named Dorothy. 
This is a very on-brand and human supported chatbot to be our “Personal Baby Expert." Dorothy helps customers learn about nutrition, lactation, and sleep. Plus, it’s real humans in the background which gives customers a great experience while allowing the bot AI to learn from standard answers given by humans. Eventually, with enough inputs, Dorothy can become smart enough to hold a conversation without humans watching her back.

Claire- making travel booking easier for SMB. 
Claire is an AI assistant that helps small and medium - sized businesses manage, control and automate their corporate travel. Using any messenger platform, Claire books business trips within seconds. She knows the team’s travel policy as well as their preferences. Claire provides personal assistance 24/7 and solves any problem during the journey. On an organizational level, Claire provides real-time insights into travel analytics and helps management to reduce travel expenses systematically. So through a know-it-all travel chatbot, Claire can save employees time, business money, and tracks more industry data than any human HR team can.

Chatbots can be hyper personal

One of the great values of chatbots is, in fact, their ability to be personalized. It’s something we mentioned at the very start of the article, and it’s one of the reasons companies have invested billions in their creation. 

Just like human speech varies according to who you’re speaking with (your best friend or your grandma) and the context (the New York ballet or an amusement park), chatbots should be able to do the same. They should be able to identify our mood and needs based on our questions and text, and respond accordingly. Curation is how they can provide the most value to the customer, and how they can appear to be most genuine, enjoyable, and frictionless conversationalists. So good, that they may almost seem human…

Though, as said by Judy Shapiro, CMO of Chattify:

“The objective of the chatbot should never be to be human. It’s to provide a service”

Personalization leads to segmentation and bias

So we don’t need a chatbot passing a Turing Test, we need a bot helping people. And personalization is a big part of that. One of the greatest advances of the chatbot age is a massive change in segmentation. While before companies attempted to group users based on demographics (race, age, gender), chatbots are able to take the double blind approach and identify users solely by their needs, based on the questions they ask. So instead of a customer being a Chinese woman, 35 years old, a chatbot can identify a customer as a 1st time user of this product with above average technical knowledge and large budget. This clarification is more useful to a company than the former could ever be.

Replacing demographics with need-based curation is a huge accomplishment, but a huge task. It’s easy to divide customers by what they look like. It’s hard to differentiate them by true need. It requires truly neutral understanding on behalf of the robot, a job not so easily accomplished.
The internet has actively discussed inherent bias in human-developed technologies. Here is a CNN Money video to brush you up on the biases of tech.

The premise is that human developed initiatives have the biases of their creator. Men build apps that are more tailored to men than women. Black women build businesses that white men have trouble understanding. And Frankenstein’s monster had the sweet, misunderstood personality of his creator.

AI only expedites developer biases

And with AI, when technology builds upon itself and continues to improve exponentially, biases accumulate and begin to get exceedingly impactful. One example mentioned multiple times at the roundtable came from the recent US election. According to chatbots developed mostly in New York and California (highly liberal states), America was voting blue, and Mrs. Clinton had the presidency in the bag. But the innate bias of the chatbots made them unable to interpret answers in a neutral enough way to appreciate subtleties that would make a voter choose Mr. Trump. And so when election day came along and shocked many chatbot creators, all it took was a look inside the code to spot the biases that mistakenly evaluated the accumulated answers.

So biases exist, but they aren’t necessarily bad. They’re part of our world. “Every brand is a bias,” said Stephen Nemeth. “If the world is neutral, the world is not interesting.” Branded bots need bias- imagine a neutral chatbot trying to sell a woman makeup, without any emotion or opinion. That would be a poor experience for the female customer, to say the least. Products need bias- would anyone use the Fox News chatbot if it existed without a conservative tint? Or interact with a Comedy Central chatbot who didn’t have a sense of humor? The key is to understand the bias innate in your product so that you can serve your customers in the best manner.

What is the future of chatbots?

Plenty of 21st century technologies have were promised to change our world are now defunct. Will chatbots go the way of the QR code, or the Avatar? A cool technology that was never really able to scale properly?

The overwhelming answer of this (admittedly biased) roundtable was no. Learning from the mad times of iOS app development is helpful in making good decisions. Being integrated with huge apps like iMessage and Messenger limits the self-destructive capabilities of chatbots. And the market is so big that chatbots will find their place.

A lot comes from our changing tastes and needs. As generations get more tech-friendly, the expectations will come down. We’ll become more comfortable with machines that aren’t exactly human, and aren’t entirely robot. We’ll be okay sharing more with a machine than we ever did with a human customer service rep, even some of our most private information, like medical records and financial stats.

The future of chatbots isn’t written in stone. If mismanaged, it can end in an anticlimactic disappointment. On the other hand, it can change how we interact with every business in the world. Overall, the industry is young and expectations for its future are no more certain than a talented 8th grade pitcher's career prospects. Overall, chatbots have a lot of value to add to the world today, and a lot of problems to solve in our future.

Monday, October 30, 2017

How Automatic Translation is Revolutionizing Travel

I first wrote this post for the blog at 30STF.
The world is getting smaller, businesses are getting bigger, and individuals are recognizing the value of looking abroad for talent, collaboration, and success.
The past showed businesses dozens of reasons to stay domestic. Most of these reasons have been made irrelevant by ever-improving technology. Heavy tariffs lose relevancy in a digital world. High cost of travel doesn’t exist with cheap flights and video conferencing and communication tools like Skype, Slack, and Workplace by Facebook.
But the most important barrier, language, has remained a decisive limiter to the true potential of global expansion. How can a US based company do business in Vietnam without speaking Vietnamese? How does an Estonian entrepreneur raise money from Silicon Valley investors without communicating her vision in English? And how can a small German business hire developers from Colombia without speaking Spanish?
Until recently, this sort of ambitious international expansion required expensive multi-lingual human talent (a niche owned by Benny the Polyglot, who speaks 7 languages), translators, and a whole lot of trust.
But due to recent developments in Natural Language Processing (NLP), this final barrier is about to come down. This will create enormous opportunity for global business expansion and easier business travel.
Most communication and translation technologies aren’t good enough

What is Natural Language Processing?

According to the definition given by Search Business Analytics, NLP is a computer’s ability to understand language as it is spoken. That essential asterisk – as it is spoken –  is what makes development in NLP so exciting.
NLP is an essential instrument in enabling features like voice-to-text dictation, as highlighted by Microsoft Garage’s recently launch and promotion of a dictation app. It’s used in any voice AI, like communication with Siri, Alexa, or your Samsung-deployed talking refrigerator. In fact, this ‘search’ feature (a human asking a computer for information) is where most of NLP research is focused.
“The destiny of search is to become the Star Trek computer,” says Amit Singhal, SVP of engineering for Google Search. “You could ask it a question and it would tell you exactly the right answer, one right answer—and sometimes it would tell you things you needed to know in advance, before you could ask it.”
(If you want to learn more, we covered the power of Voice AI in a previous post.)
And when performing at it’s best, NLP can be used for on the go translation. But before we get to that exciting future, it is important to recognize NLP’s current limits.

The limitations of Natural Language Processing

In early human-computer spoken interaction, humans were required to speak in basic, structured sentences. The computer would interpret the inputted spoken phrase and match it up with a phrase in its database. Then, if all went well, the computer generates the corresponding output, as determined by its database.
The limitations of this system are obvious. Humans don’t speak in structured sentences. At best, we babel in generalities and vague meanings. So NLP’s practicality in any natural setting- like translation while traveling – was severely limited.
Additionally, there is a lot more to human vocal communication than just the words. So much of language is subtlety. Hearing your friend say the words “I’m happy we broke up,” while watching him cry creates a contradictory situation in which language, social cues, and empathy need to work together to dictate our response.
Social context is essential with understanding language. When translating from one language to another, even more complicated factors come into play.
As Ed Bussey writes in a post for Venture Beat, “I’d question how soon AI can be taught to understand political, historical, and cultural contexts in a way that would safeguard against awkward errors.”
Even if a computer were to get the words right and understand winding sentences, there is an entire sect of language without direct translation. How would a computer be able to translate, on the fly, the Czech word prozvonit, which means “to call a phone and let it ring once, to get the recipient to call you back.” Or the Danish word ‘hygge’, which translates to “a quality of cosiness and comfortable conviviality that engenders a feeling of contentment or well-being.”
Language is hard. Getting a computer to understand, translate, and respond in natural human language is a big research task.

Current Research in Natural Language Processing

While there is a lot of deep learning and development research happening in the world of NLP, much of it happens in a few key areas. David Orr, the project manager for the Google Research NLP groups, describe the segments in a Quora post.
Syntax: Speech tagging and parsing in 60+ languages. We have multiple taggers and parsers, some of which are application-specific, and which make different speed/quality tradeoffs. (ie. Defining grammatical rules and analyzing speech trends like slang, shorthand, and formal speech.)
Semantics: Recognizing entities in text, matching those entities against our knowledge graph where it’s possible, labeling the entities in a variety of ways, analyze coreference to figure out what words or phrases refer to the same thing, and so on. (ie. Solving the problem of context in speech, and being able to understand the subtleties and cultural uniquities, and adding emotional empathy and cognition.)
Knowledge extraction: Learn relations between entities, recognize events, match entities between queries and documents. (ie. Congregating information from many sources on similar topics to develop better understanding of an issue, and providing better information to humans.)
Summarization: Figure out the topics of a page, and generate summaries of the page. Sentiment analysis, clustering on a variety of metrics, etc. (ie. Understanding large chunks of text and speech well enough to generate summaries, saving humans time.)
Question answering: When is a query really looking for a piece of specific information and how do we find and surface that piece of information?
All of these research areas come together to develop Natural Language Processing’s capabilities.

Natural Language Processing for Travel

All the limitations aside, researchers are clearly making an enormous amount of progress in the space. Led by companies like Microsoft, Baidu, Google, and Apple, the NLP market is set to grow from $7.63 billion USD in 2016 to $16.07 billion USD by 2021, according to Markets and Markets.
This means that lots of progress is being made. The earliest modern developments in translation came in the form of Google Translate. Since launch in 2006, it has grown to support over 100 languages and over 200 million uses a day. This huge amount of data, combined with recent improvements in ‘neural machine translation’, make Google Translate one of the most important tools for rapid translation.
In a previous 30STF post, we described language learning and translation tools to use when preparing for a business trip. These include services like Open Culture and Memrise for language learning, and Photo Translator and the many business phrasebooks available for quick translation on the go.
The next level of that is an advanced NLP Artificial intelligence able to translate language as fluidly and fluently as possible, all in real time. (Early iterations exist in text, as discussed in our article about chatbots.) Some solutions already exist.
Google’s newest product, the Google Pixel Buds, were announced in early October 2017. They incorporate NLP in a pretty neat way. Skift describes how the Buds work for translation. A listener can hear inputs in one language, have it translated into their native tongue, respond in their native language, and have the Pixel Buds translate back in the language of their choice. The drawback is that they buds require a mobile connection with your Pixel phone, which limits the usage to data or wifi enabled areas. (Click here for a video demo.)
Another tool focused on translation is Translate One2One, a $279 IBM Watson-powered earpiece capable of translating across 9 languages, including English, Arabic, and Chinese. So while the United Nations only has 6 official languages that cover ~2.8 billion people (according to the UN), Translate One2One provides software the expands that potential usage pool immensely. This AI powered earpiece is not reliant on any connection, so can outpace the Google Pixel Buds in the scope of its usability.
The benefits of tools like this are endless. As quoted in Digital Trends, Translate One2One founder Danny May said:
“As the first device on the market for language translation using AI that does not rely on connectivity to operate, it offers significant potential for its unique application across airlines, foreign government relations and even not-for-profits working in remote areas.”
Facilitating translations means easier travel and more closed business

So what does this mean for businesses?

So we know the challenges of NLP, and its potential. We appreciate that technology to do automatic and fluent translation is near, if not already here. This means big changes for businesses.
By being able to use tools to ease translation and virtually remove language barriers from the work place, small and medium businesses will finally be able to confidently hire international talent. This comes with lots of benefits including a larger hiring pool, new cultural insights, and a bigger market for your product.
Growing your team internationally means more international travel. While communication tools like Skype and Slack have been invaluable in facilitating internal communication for companies, in person meetings continue to be the best way to have meaningful debate, collaboration, and discussion.
Using NLP as a travel assistant can help your best sales people pitch clients in entirely new markets and grow your business. While international sales might traditionally be done over email (to allow for text translation) or by hiring local sales people with less training, NLP technology can permit important and seamless in-person sales meetings with representatives speaking multiple languages.
This is an immeasurably important benefit. Forbes writes, “You are twice as likely to convert prospects into customers with an in-person meeting. The likelihood of getting a “yes” increases, because it is so much easier to say “no” in an email or on a phone call.”
Natural Language Processing is one of the most interesting and deep research segments in modern artificial intelligence technology. While many limitations remain, it’s impact on business travel and transactions is undeniably imminent.

Thursday, August 31, 2017

How Voice AI is Changing our World

This post first appeared at 30STF.
You put on the S-Town podcast to go for a run (John B is an addicting character). Ask Alexa to turn on Jay-Z’s new 4:44 album while you’re doing the dishes (hopefully you’ve got Tidal). Driving, walking, working. Music, podcasts, audiobooks. Any activity in our lives can be supplemented with a voice in our ear aiding, entertaining, informing.
That’s the input side of things. And then there is the output. We ask Siri about the weather and get told that it might rain. We ask our TV to turn on Game of Thrones, and we get dragons. Samsung is working on ways for us to talk to our refrigerators, wheelchairs, and smartwatches, from which we would expect immediate results as well.
But we’re still in the early stages. As Stas Tushinskiy, CEO of Instreamatic said, “it’s the era of the PC industry before windows.” Currently, voice is just about leaving the era of interesting but not clearly useful technology. Once we’re able to understand and interpret voice via technology, the opportunities are endless. And we’re likely on the precipice of this moment.
According to Tushinskiy, the first thing that will be updated is our customer service. Tushinskiy believes that the power of Voice AI will change our world most quickly by replacing IVR (Interactive Voice Responsive), that annoying communication that asks us to press 1 for English and 2 for Spanish before launching into an unhelpful rabbit hole that gets us begging for an operator. “Today the tech is ready to provide close to human interaction over the phone,” he says.
But this is a huge topic with a diverse set of ramifications. Based in part on Adriel Lubarsky’s interview with Stas Tushinskiy on Adriel’s Curious City podcast (check it out on iTunes, Soundcloud, or any podcasting app), here is 30 Second’s To Fly look at the future of Voice AI.
Talking to our headset
We’re already talking to our robots

How Voice AI is Used Today

We see the power of voice all around us. Since Siri came out in 2011, almost everyone (98% of iPhone users, to be exact) have at least tried the voice assistant. The artificial intelligence ingrained into the technology helps voice learn to be smarter, to learn about us as individuals, and to be able to respond to more situations and dialects every week. Voice exists in a few different mediums.

Mobile Voice Assistants

Perhaps the most relevant application of voice in our modern lives is the mobile assistant. Asking Siri for weather updates and sports news has gone from a gimmick to a standard. Google Now can set meetings, write text messages, and wake you up for work. Samsung’s Bixby can get you restaurant recommendations based on your location and tastes. These capabilities are exploding and evolving outrageously fast.
The short life span and fast growth of these products is reflective of fast change and many more improvements coming our way.

In Home Voice Assistants

As a more recent introduction into our worlds, products like Amazon Echo and Google Home can be seen in many homes, for prices as low as $99. These remarkable pieces of hardware are capable of much more complex interactions than our phones, like Alexa’s ability to order products from Amazon, and Google Home recognizing multiple voices and responding based on the speaker’s personal calendar and preferences. These dynamic features are going to continue to develop.
As Voice AI assistants become smarter and better trained, they will become consistently more interactive and capable of two-sided and interesting communication with their owners. Sort of like the movie Her. Which, if you haven’t seen it, is an Oscar-winning look at the technological potential and ethical ramifications of advanced voice AI.

Everything else

Recognizing that voice is everywhere is essential to appreciating how important investing in Voice AI is. Televisions play commercials, grocery stores announce sales, and airports blast flight details.
Any aspect of the use of voice can, theoretically, become smarter and offer users a more interactive and valuable message.

Not all voices are created equal

As the Voice AI that is driving the revolution sees more players and investment, there will remain pros and cons to each (just like in any product.) The 2017 Voice Report draws some conclusions and makes predictions about how specialization will factor into product development and company branding.
  • Google is going to excel at mining the web and providing intelligent responses to general knowledge questions.
  • Amazon is going to excel at commerce.
  • Google and Microsoft should excel at email, contacts and calendar.
  • Microsoft has a huge opportunity to excel at gaming.
  • Google and Amazon are going to battle for hands-free TV and home automation.
  • Apple is betting on AirPods for on-the-go use cases, and should have an Apple TV voice strategy.
  • All players will battle to become the go to controller of the kitchen, living room and bedroom.

What are challenges in voice?

Understanding what we’re saying

My sister’s name is Bashel–it’s a made up name. My friend’s name is Spyros–he’s Greek. Siri has trouble understanding both of these, unless I emphasize every possible syllable.
My mom has an accent–she’s Russian. My uncle can’t speak English–he’s Ukranian. Both of them have trouble getting Alexa to understand anything they’re saying.
The troubles of getting Voice AI to hear enough samples of diverse languages, accents, and dialects is depicted well by Sonia Paul in her article for Wired. Or if you don’t feel like reading, this 2010 comedy sketch (Scottish men trying to speak to a voice-enabled American made elevator) makes the point just as well, and with some laughs.

Search

The technology that led Google to world domination is, above all else, search. When Google created the ability to index the internet, it blew open the very idea of access to information, and revolutionized the web.
Voice needs a similar development in capability. As David Loughlin writes for the Huffington Post, while touch screens are second nature and interactive, “Voice-based interaction requires users to retain much more information without reference to visual cues.” So voice-based AI will need to learn how to provide more context to information, delivering information in ‘manageable chunks.’
Other challenges–from building personalities to becoming useful enough to be adopted–contribute to making Voice AI a reach goal, more than a sure thing. Even as voice improves, it will likely need help from a more traditional information provider–display.

Will voice replace display?

No. Just like robots won’t replace human jobs, but rather complement them. However, Voice will make things much more convenient.
Voice will complement display. So if you want a quick weather update, voice is the right medium. If you want to view a moving storm front, you want to see it on a screen. So neither medium should act in a silo.
And the big players are beginning to appreciate that, as shown by Amazon’s recent launching of the Echo Show which features both Alexa enabled Voice AI and a 7-inch display screen. As Andrew Ng, chief strategist at Baidu, explained to MIT Technology Review, while “speech input is three times quicker than typing on mobile devices, ‘the fastest way for a machine to get information to you is via a screen.’” So marrying the two will lead to more effective tools.
Voice advertising is going to reach audiences in a highly effective way
Voice advertising is going to reach audiences in a highly effective way

So what is the vision of voice advertising?

An enormous impact Voice AI will have that isn’t talked about as often is revolutionizing the advertising industry.
So, let’s talk about it. The first and most important problem AI can fix is that there is currently no such thing as ‘clicks’ in audio. And no clicks means that unlike online banner advertisements (however annoying they may be) or even TV ads (at least those can be shared if they’re funny enough) there is no way to track their effectiveness.
Uncounted millions of dollars are spent on podcast advertising targeting the 46 million listeners, according to Business Insider, but it’s a black box. There is no information about whether the advertisement worked, how you liked it, or if it was even beneficial to you. It’s not even customizable to the listener like many online streaming video ads are. Besides the use of promo codes, audio ads are a dead-end. Today, advertisers are not as excited as they could be about audio ads, and they spend more nervously.
Stas Tushinskiy, CEO of the voice advertising company Instreamatic walks us through this example. Imagine you’re listening to Pandora. Your song ends. A promotion plays.“Hey, there is a new iPhone on the market. It’s got 128 gigs and a 4.8 inch display. Are you interested in learning more?” Then–and this part is revolutionary–you can respond. “No, I’m happy with the iPhone I just got,” which would lead the platform to know that they shouldn’t be serving you up iPhone ads, at least for the time being.
Or, let’s say your podcast goes on commercial break. Instead of a 30 second Squarespace commercial, you’re asked a question. A question that video ads–like on Hulu–have been asking us for years. “Which advertising experience would you prefer? Food or travel?” “Travel,” you respond. “Great! Disney Resorts is the coolest place to be this summer!” Now, voice advertising driven by AI can serve you ads that are actually interesting to you.
Or, even more exciting. You’re listening to Jay-Z again. It’s time for your advertisement. You happen to be walking by a Starbucks. Your Voice AI is connected to your phone’s locating software and knows this. It says: “Hey Jack. Thanks for listening to HOV. You’re probably in a pretty good mood. You’re about to pass a Starbucks–how about a cappuccino?” “Sure,” you respond. “That sounds excellent. Are there any discounts?” “Of course!”, responds Pandora advertising. “Take a screenshot of the code on your screen, and scan it at the register.” Then Jay-Z turns back on, and you go about your day.
See–voice and display working together!
According to Stas, this technology is a huge opportunity for advertisers and a chance for us–consumers–to build better relationships with companies. “What we call annoying advertisement is irrelevant advertising. Or it’s not the right time. If we can make ads relevant and providing value, there won’t be as much demand for ad blocking.”

Is there a chance that we are wrong?

It’s an important question to ask when contemplating the future of anything. If today is our starting point, we’ve got plenty of options for tomorrow. Some people, like Stas Tushinskiy, are investing heavily in voice. Others, like Elon Musk, are trying to skip that entire epoch of technology (Elon is working on directly connecting our brains to computer software through his company Neuralink.)
However, Stas and many others (including Amazon, Google, and Apple) believe that voice is the next generation of technology, and won’t be replaced by telepathy anytime soon.
Whoever is right, we can be pretty certain that voice will continue to play an ever-growing role in our lives in the coming years.